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Quick Look
The markets
 
monthly calendar
 

2.9%

S&P 500

1.1%

EURO STOXX 50

2.7%

FTSE 100

1.2%

CAC 40

0.1%

DAX 30

1.3%

BEL20

1.1%

FTSE MIB

2.1%

IBEX 35

1.3%

TOPIX

 

Source: Bloomberg 31.12.2019

 
 

In perfect harmony

 

Following a spate of interest rate cuts, the US Federal Reserve (Fed) ended the year in wait and see mode. The Fed will keep a close eye on inflation, but its tone is seen as ‘doveish’. This means financial markets still expect the next move to be a cut. The Bank of Japan joined the Bank of England with a similarly doveish stance. While Christine Lagarde, the new president of the European Central Bank, suggested she was neither hawk nor dove, more an owl ‘with a bit of wisdom’.

 

Very, very big oil

 

Shares in Saudi Aramco made an impressive market debut. The huge oil company had a bumpy road to market, and only a tiny proportion was listed on the local stock market. But demand was strong, which pushed the market valuation above $2 trillion. That’s almost double the size of Apple, the next biggest company in the world. Saudi promises of yet more production cuts, tightening the lid on supply, have kept the oil price rising. This could potentially boost the company’s profits, always good news for shareholders.

 

And the winner is...

 

Netflix! The content streaming giant is the best performing stock in the S&P 500 over the past decade, rising a staggering 3,767%. Despite dominating the markets over recent years, the only other member of the FAANGs (Facebook, Apple, Amazon, Netflix and Google) to make it into the Top Ten was Amazon (+1,209%). Netflix has shown the benefits of being first mover in a fast growing market. But Disney and Apple are keen to take a slice of that pie. And the winner for the 2020s… is just impossible to predict.

 

Data correct at 05.12.2019

Close Look
Le coronavirus et ses répercussions
 
Architas

A listing on the stockmarket is the dream of many a wannabe unicorn start-up. But sky-high valuations can sometimes be built on fantasy rather than sound expectations. And these young, fast-growing companies can burn through their cash at an alarming rate. We look at the downs and ups of this year’s initial public offering (IPO) market and a possible high flyer.


WeWork, a shared office space company, has grabbed headlines for all the wrong reasons. Its eye-watering IPO valuation was exposed as baseless and the deal collapsed. The company was once sprinkled with the stardust of the start-ups who rented the office space. Now it has come down to earth with a bump. It was rescued by Softbank Vision Fund at a fraction of the proposed IPO price.

 

Both Uber and Lyft, the ride-hailing apps which listed earlier in the year, touched all-time lows last month. They are both struggling to make their business models not only convincing, but also profitable. Elsewhere, former favourite sectors such as bitcoin, marijuana and vaping have taken a hit.


Even the more healthy alternatives have struggled. Peloton, best known for its internet-connected indoor bikes, opened more than 10% lower on its first day of trading. Beyond Meat, maker of the vegan burger, was quite the market darling when it first listed in the summer. But rising competition from rivals could mean lower profit margins and the share price has tumbled.


Meanwhile, Virgin Galactic became the first space travel company to be listed on the New York Stock Exchange. Despite stratospheric plans, the company is not altogether reaching for the stars. Unlike Elon Musk’s aim to colonise Mars, Virgin Galactic will instead set its sights on luxury space hotels on the Moon. In the meantime, would-be travellers can buy tickets for a 90 minute space flight for a mere $250,000. The shares rocketed higher in the first hours of trading, before fizzling out later in the day.

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